UK full fibre coverage hits the 11% mark
We reported on the UK hitting the 10% FTTP coverage mark on 9th November 2019 and two months later the 11% point has been reached with full fibre coverage sitting at 11.01% as of the morning of 6th January 2020.
The number of premises passed by full fibre now stands at 3,328,926 premises and takes into account the overlaps that occur e.g. Hyperoptic and Community Fibre both being available to a number of flats in London.
As Q4 2019 has just ended, our analysis of all the speed tests seen during the quarter suggests that the take-up rate is somewhere around the 36% mark when you look at the UK as a whole. We expect the take-up rate to actually fall for a while as various providers ramp up their roll-out speed.
If the build rates continue as they are now then the maths suggest we will hit the 50% mark in eight years time. When you take the rate seen over the 12 months though the 50% mark slips out to 2031 but the difference between the two tells us that the build rate has been accelerating. 100% full fibre coverage is of course even further away with projections suggesting 2045.
If there is a 100% FTTP goal for the end of 2025, then the UK needs to be passing 12,470 premises each day, i.e. adding 0.04% to the total. The Government's goal is different though since it is 100% Gigabit availability for the end of 2025 and within a couple of years the whole Virgin Media network should meet that criteria, but since the vast majority of the FTTP being built is commercially driven and the low cost areas are the dense urban area where cable networks already exist there will be many millions with a choice of two Gigabit network operators.