Broadband News

May 2019 update on broadband availability across the UK, nations and regions

Another month has passed and the FTTP roll-outs continue with Peterborough jumping from 19.4% to 20.9% full fibre coverage in the last day due to extra coverage from the Vodafone Gigafast system being added to our system.

thinkbroadband analysis of Superfast, USC, USO and Full Fibre Broadband Coverage across the UK, its nations and regions for premises
In descending order of superfast coverage - figures 7th June 2019
(change since 7th May 2019)
Area% full and partial fibre based
i.e. VDSL2, G.fast or
FTTP or
Cable
% superfast
24 Mbps or faster
% superfast
30 Mbps or faster
% Ultrafast
100 Mbps or faster
FTTP, cable, G.fast
%
Full Fibre All Providers
 
Openreach and KCOM FTTP
% Under 2 Mbps download% Below USO
10 Mbps download
1 Mbps upload
ADSL2+ does not count as USO compliant
North East 98.5% 97.5% (=) 97.3% 55.2% (+0.1) 1.44% (+0.04)
0.53% (+0.01)
0.2% 1.9% (=)
963,163 Premises 948,580 939,935 937,297 531,835 13,894
 5,109
2,009 18,205
East Midlands 99.1% 97.5% (=) 97.2% 62.2% (+0.2) 4.19% (+0.38)
 1.76% (0.31)
0.3% 1.5% (=)
1,152,932Premises 1,142,852 1,124,578 1,120,472 716,758

48,264
20,306

3,782 17,490
South East 99% 97.4% (=) 97% 57.6% (+0.4) 5.86% (+0.25)
 2.49% (+0.11)
0.2% 1.6% (=)
2,257,154 Premises 2,234,633 2,198,603 2,189,994 1,299,123 132,295
 56,285
5,482 35,082
London 98% 97.3% (+0.1) 97.1% 74.6% (+0.1) 10.84% (+0.29)
 4.13% (+0.23)
0.1% 2.2% (-0.1)
4,643,789 Premises 4,551,663 4,516,315 4,508,119 3,466,085 503,615
191,700
4,451 103,846
West Midlands 98.6% 97.3% (+0.1) 97.1% 67.9% (+0.4) 5.5% (+0.72)
 3.33% (+0.46)
0.3% 2% (=)
2,899,043 Premises 2,858,733 2,819,946 2,813,429 1,968,677 159,336
 96,556
7,289 57,038
North West 98.7% 96.9% (=) 96.6% 53.7% (+0.2) 5.97% (+0.63)
 4.34% (+0.59)
0.5% 2.2% (=)
4,063,371 Premises 4,011,176 3,937,264 3,924,307 2,183,269 242,561
 176,274
19,997 88,687
England 98.4% 96.6% (+0.1) 96.3% 60.1% (+0.3) 7.55% (+0.39)
 4.37% (+0.31)(includes KCom Lightstream)
0.4% 2.4% (-0.1)
25,050,736 Premises 24,639,123 24,197,195 24,113,612 15,057,452 1,890,421
 1,095,097
93,043 600,377
Great Britain 98.2% 96.3% (+0.1) 95.9% 57.8% (+0.3) 7.32% (+0.42)
 4.29% (+0.33)(includes KCom Lightstream)
0.5% 2.7% (=)
29,202,149 Premises 28,688,343 28,116,431 28,015,103 16,876,791 2,138,344
 1,252,451
136,694 779,531
United Kingdom 98.3% 96.1% (+0.1) 95.7% 57.4% (+0.3) 7.71% (+0.43)
 4.67% (+0.31)
(includes KCom Lightstream)
0.6% 2.8% (=)
30,022,604 Premises 29,502,902 28,849,979 28,742,018 17,246,596 2,314,140
 1,400,760
170,759 855,380
Yorkshire and Humber 97.9% 96.3% (+0.2) 95.9% 59.6% (+0.5) 12.55% (+0.48)
 9.66% (+0.41)(includes KCom Lightstream)
0.4% 2.8% (-0.2)
2,672,773 Premises 2,617,920 2,572,864 2,564,361 1,592,825 335,534
 258,097
11,772 75,469
East of England 98.4% 95.8% (+0.1) 95.3% 54.2% (+0.3) 3.81% (+0.2)
1.52% (+0.06)
0.5% 2.6% (-0.1)
2,724,332 Premises 2,679,683 2,610,249 2,595,914 1,476,914 103,834
 44,167
12,792 72,139
Wales 97.8% 95.2% (+0.1) 94.7% 37.2% (+0.1) 8.31% (+0.56)
 6.96% (+0.41)
0.7% 3.5% (=)
1,437,874 Premises 1,405,884 1,368,444 1,362,253 534,226 119,526
 100,112
10,512 50,587
Scotland 97.4% 94% (=) 93.6% 47.4% (+0.5) 4.73% (+0.59)
 2.11% (+0.18)
1.2% 4.7% (-0.1)
2,713,539 Premises 2,643,336 2,550,792 2,539,238 1,285,113 128,397
 57242
33,139 128,567
South West 97.8% 94.7% (+0.1) 94.2% 49.6% (+0.3) 9.56% (+0.37)
 6.71% (+0.29)
0.7% 3.6% (-0.1)
3,674,179 Premises 3,593,883 3,477,981 3,459,719 1,821,966 351,088
 246,603
25,469 132,421
Northern Ireland 99.3% 89.4% (=) 88.6% 45.1% (+0.3) 21.43% (+0.55)
 18.08% (+0.44)
4.2% 7.1% (=)
820,455 Premises 814,559 733,548 726,915 369,805 175,796
 148,309
34,065 58,419

We have added a change marker to the USO column, so that as we approach 20th March 2020 which is the start date for requesting a USO intervention people can see how things are changing. As the change is shown to just one decimal place smaller changes may take some months to finally reveal themselves.

The new ONS postcode dataset was published at the end of May and this first week of June has involved integrating this and there has been a number of council changes:

  • Glasgow, North Lanarkshire boundary changes but effect on figures looked minimal so we carried across the previous speeds and coverage figures to show the historical trent.
  • New council Somerset and West Taunton, which combines West Somerset and Taunton Deane.
  • New council Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole along with a redefined Dorset
  • New council Suffolk Coastal and Waveney
  • New council West Suffolk

The new councils only have the latest coverage figures present, but we may during June run a process to generate the historical trends and we will be running the Q1 2019 speed analysis again along with generating the history back to 2009. Those people with links to the old councils should still work but they will find that the figures are no longer updating.

The work to determine what broadband is available to any new build premises in the new ONS dataset is underway and while it is too early to share figures suffice to say that while there is a lot of full fibre there are still some with only VDSL2 and ASDL2+ options - though as its early days some of the ADSL2+ locations may turn out to have services such as Virgin Media.

In terms of tracking targets, the 97% superfast ambition is looking like it may be possible for July/August 2020, this may accelerate if the Welsh phase 2 BDUK contract starts to delivery. We are finding after a long dry spell more Gigaclear areas going live including in Herefordshire, North Somerset and around Uttlesford in Essex which may help to see the superfast coverage levels start ticking up a bit faster. The slow pace of increase in the superfast counters looks to be very much down to the shift to full fibre centric delivery.

Looking at Openreach specifically the FTTP figures jumped in the last 4.5 weeks from 1,120,718 premises to 1,211,113 an increase of 90,395 premises at a rate of 20,087 premises per week. Based on the rate of delivery from the last six months this gives a predicted date of November 2021 for passing the 4 million premises mark, therefore since the target date is 31st March 2021 we can expect the pace to increase further if the company is to deliver on its promise.

Comments

" the 97% superfast ambition is looking like it may be possible for July/August 2020"

You taking that as the date they will hit the target or when it will show in the data?

  • Croft12
  • 2 months ago

The date when I expect labs.thinkbroadband.com/local to be showing a figure of 97% with out any rounding up.

  • andrew
  • thinkbroadband staff
  • 2 months ago

I _think_ about 18,000 more households* could be available soon in Peterborough once the work in the Ortons gets turned on (they started on the outside edge, and seem to be working towards the town centre).

* number of households in the 2011 census for the Ortons and Fletton/Woodston (assuming they fibre up the latter on the way by). More properties have been built since then, but the census zones appear to incl the Hamptons who's fibre status I don't know).

  • Cessquill
  • 2 months ago

Thanks, congrats on the OBE. Can you provide the numbers for Openreach working system size? On the increase in total line volumes from January, is that an observed quantity or the working through of an assumption on growth of premises? The uniformity looks a bit too consistent.

  • ValueforMoney
  • 2 months ago

30,022,604 Premises across the UK as table says, then you just need to remove the Hull KCOM footprint.

There is then perhaps another 50,000 where Openreach is locked out.

No assumptions are made on growth of premises, lots of work in looking at the actual numbers built is done.

  • andrew
  • thinkbroadband staff
  • 2 months ago

Andrew thanks, I note from BDUK latest (BDUK Programme summary tab - dec 2018, reported in april 2019) that another 401k are contracted but not yet delivered for what they describe as phase 1 and 2 and then there is mountain to contract - procurement pipeline tab (£700m+) which now excludes Northern Ireland's - £175m Project Stratum.

Even that 401k yet to be delivered takes us close to 97%, before the additional contracts! So why the shyness in declaring the greater upside?

I have a bduk slide saying a 103k more premises in 2019/20 but this is at odds with the amount outstanding.

  • ValueforMoney
  • 2 months ago

Shyness from who?

Where is the proof (rather than hearsay) that 401,000 premises are yet to be delivered with superfast via a BDUK contract? Or are you including things like R100 in that figure, where no contract is signed yet.

  • andrew
  • thinkbroadband staff
  • 2 months ago

Still on adsl+ after waiting 9 yrs Uking joke if you ask me

  • plc143
  • 2 months ago

Andrew - compare BDUK contracted v delivery in BDUK spreadsheet here https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Hs00bNsyRV1WoOt-fow3rsNXzpcKg26AsOWvk1bvJRk/edit#gid=1411146266

R100 is extra, there is £760m in the pipeline tab which references R100. NI Stratum is an extra.

  • ValueforMoney
  • 2 months ago

Andrew - Shyness from BDUK in claiming a big possible upside in rural which could trigger a broader availability elsewhere. If this much can be achieved in rural why are some business parks being denied full fibre? Why have Ofcom failed to define in full a 'reasonable request' for full fibre?

  • ValueforMoney
  • 2 months ago

Shy? That seems the wrong word.

55,000 in Devon and Somerset and we know about the ongoing delays with Gigaclear there
Similar for chunks of Essex

Making lots of noise about hitting 97% before you actually hit it would be premature and give the public the wrong impression I suspect.

As for business parks - surely that is what the voucher schemes are meant to do?

BTW if 400k more is delivered that would take us beyond 97%, unless you have a different calculator to me

  • andrew
  • thinkbroadband staff
  • 2 months ago

Andrew - yes beyond and then there is the £760m+ in the pipeline + Project Stratum.

If beyond 97% is contracted with more to come, what is the interaction with the B-USO fund?

The consultations on the B-USO do not reference these potential upsides which is unusual. Nor do they attempt to reconcile them.

Shy might be the wrong word if the capacity to do the work is not in place or it is pulled away to do LFFN projects.

  • ValueforMoney
  • 2 months ago

@Andrew,

Hi, I was wondering if when you produce the next Updates, it would be possible to include the split for the Scottish regions - Highlands and Islands and Rest of Scotland as you do for the sub areas of England ?

Thanks for the work you guys put in BTW,
Gary

  • Swac3
  • about 1 month ago

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