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BDUK performance data for up to September 2015 published
Thursday 12 November 2015 14:30:15 by Andrew Ferguson

The latest performance indicators for the BDUK phase 1 project have been published by the Department for Culture, Media and Sport with the headline statistic that up to the end of September 2015 some £372,153,178 of central Government money has made superfast broadband available to 3,311,843 premises. The money spent will be higher as there is the contributions from the local authorities and in some areas EU money, plus as the whole project is built around a gap funding model there will be money spent by BT who won all the phase 1 projects (Some phase 1 areas did fund small amounts of additional wireless work to supplement the roll-out). The BDUK figures only take account of premises where broadband at faster than 24 Mbps is available.

Cumulative to end of: Premises with superfast broadband service made available BDUK funding (£) Number of premises covered per £million of broadband delivery programme expenditure
December 2012 254 £434,735 584
March 2013 16,638 £6,767,185 2,459
June 2013 38,343 £6,767,185 5,666
September 2013 111,968 £10,347,568 10,821
December 2013 273,731 £14,182,547 19,301
February 2014 370,000 n/a n/a
March 2014 508,801 £58,586,408 8,685
June 2014 888,113 £72,437,233 12,260
September 2014 1,383,777 £99,766,011 13,870
December 2014 1,908,725 £252,084,918 7,572
March 2015 2,411,395 £301,444,870 7,999
March 2015 2,411,395 £301,444,870 7,999
June 2015 2,905,764 £331,828,330 8,757
September 2015 3,311,843 £372,153,178 8,899

The subsidy from Westminster works out at £112 per premise and it will be interesting to see if this changes as projects finish most of the easy low hanging fruit and embark on the harder to reach areas where the number of premises per cabinet is lower and more native FTTP may be involved.

We are of course over six weeks past the end of September and we believe the project has passed some 3.7 to 3.8 million premises to date, with the result that superfast broadband is available to 87.9% of UK premises at 24 Mbps or faster (drops to 87.1% when a 30 Mbps threshold is applied). The rate that new areas are going live is such that we expect the end of 2015 deadline to be missed, but only by a few weeks with the headline grabbing 90% mark being hit in January or February 2016. England at 89.1% 24 Mbps or better coverage though should break the 90% barrier before the end of the year.

Some source may quote figures for fibre based coverage that is already beyond 90% and this is because they are not applying any speed qualifiers and if we remove that the UK has something vaguely fibre based available to 91.8% of premises - the difference down to the 87.9% superfast figure covering those who see no benefit from FTTC to those who have seen some benefit e.g. a jump from 4 Mbps to 14 Mbps download speeds.

The value for money debate will no doubt run for a long time, but the scale of the change is apparent if you compare FTTC and ADSL average speeds in an area like Scotland where for the last two years ADSL/ADSL2+ has delivered mean speeds in the 5.6 to 6.5 Mbps range and FTTC is delivering an average speed of 26.5 to 32.8 Mbps in the same period. Critics often highlight the lack of symmetry in the superfast specification but the FTTC roll-out is delivering a mean upload speed of between 8 and 9 Mbps beating the ADSL download speeds. Before critics jump to say the average speed seems very low, remember we will be seeing a wide profile of people speed testing and not just those closest to the cabinet and even amongst those close to the cabinet we see many elect to save £5 to £10 per month and buy the slower up to 38 Mbps service.


Posted by WWWombat 11 months ago
"something vaguely fibre based"

Posted by Blackmamba 11 months ago
Hi Broadband Watchers.
Give credit to Thinkbroadband data as the results in Surrey at the 24 meg results have changed over the last week and have moved from 95.6% to 95.7% over 500k customers. This shows that the Comercial section is still being invested in because the OMR has not kicked in yet. Good Data presentation.
Posted by andrew (Favicon staff member) 11 months ago
@blackmamba Your presumption that it is commercial roll-out will probably be wrong, a fair bit of work has been going on analysing speed test results to determine where EO work has shifted people to cabinet based solutions and is probably why Surrey is creeping up still.

Similar analysis today has helped also identify some of the expanding B4RN foot print.
Posted by Blackmamba 11 months ago
Hi Andrews Staff and Others.
All the latest Cab,s that have been opened have been in the Commercial Section and there is still a few to do, I agree with you over the EO lines that are being transfered last it is because they had access to 15 meg (Surrey target) some of these customers will be going to FTTC/P. I would think there is a delay in picking up your data from the time the work is completed.
Posted by gerarda 11 months ago
It seems to have been forgotten that the target was 90% superfast in each local authority area, not 90% nationwide
Posted by Andso 11 months ago
well the speeds suck overall, but what sucks even more than that are the usage amounts and capacity issues for the tarrifs being charged. Simply put you know which country you're in when your usage allowance has already been used up after getting a AAA title off steam and its updates. Kinda pathetic really.
Posted by Blackmamba 11 months ago
Hi Gerarda.
You may had missed that Thinkbroadband (Andrew ) had stated that they had placed a margin by taking the results on the B range plus moving the mean from 3 months to 2 month this I think is stil filtering through plus targeting each post code.
Posted by andrew (Favicon staff member) 11 months ago
@blackmamba with all respect don't try and use your confused mis-understanding of what we do in explanations to others.

We don't use the b-range but in random sampling to ensure our model is reasonable we generally match the low end b-range figure.

Means are irrelevant, speed tests are only used to help identify areas with new activity, e.g. our tweets when we've spotted things like IFNL, CityFibre, AirWave or Openreach FTTP
Posted by andrew (Favicon staff member) 11 months ago
@blackmamba On the speed test results, the map and its expiry is totally independent of the analysis in this article and all the others.

We do a monthly and quarterly analysis and labs also shows six monthly data on postcode searches.
Posted by andrew (Favicon staff member) 11 months ago
@gerarda We have not forgotten and do look at the contracted target for the various projects, i.e. some contracts had beyond 90%, some under 90%.

The national UK ambition is 90%, the ambition for local authorities was also 90%, but freedom devolved to set targets they felt appropriate for their individual scenario.
Posted by gerarda 11 months ago
That last sentence represents a watering down of the original target, which is the point I was trying to make.
Posted by andrew (Favicon staff member) 11 months ago
@gerarda only if ALL areas aim for below 90%, some are below and some above and it balances out.

I know the press release says 90% of each LA , and this was before any contracts were signed, so we are working to contractual targets rather than a press release.
Posted by gerarda 11 months ago
Nevertheless a failure to achieve 90% by LA by the end of this year will be a failure to meet the original target, to add to the failure to achieve 2Mbps for all by the end of the last parliament.
Posted by Blackmamba 11 months ago
Hi Gerarda.
What ever your % is on Thinkbroad at the end of the the year it shows that Openreach is getting very close to the procurement dates some will be under but many will be over. i think where I am it will be very close to 90% at 24 meg. I hope you have seen today's results.
Posted by gerarda 11 months ago
I will still be below 2Mbps by the end of the year - even if satellite vouchers were announced almost immediately.
Posted by Blackmamba 11 months ago
Hi Gerarda.
It is most inportant to show on Thinkbroadband map your speed being under the 2 meg on your post code if possible with others because Openreach is watching the situation plus it will be putting pressure on your local council. Last week I knocked out a satellite system due to the line being barred from the FTTC this was in Surrey. Over the weekend I have place a speed test in your area wich will help as it is under 10 meg on a cab that is also barred on FTTC.
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